2008年2月26日星期二

Coil on stock January 18,2008 to analyse and operate plan


Thursday, last certificate composite index is declining at 138.98 o'clock, fall 2.63%, conclude 177.042 billion; Is declining deeply into finger at 441.6 o'clock, fall 2.41%, conclude 92.694 billion. It is magnified that two cities conclude volume, from news surface, see that People's Bank of China announces yesterday, January 25 takes the tune deposit kind of RMB deposit rate of financial institution of capital reserve 0.5 percentage points. Till then, on the deposit rate of capital reserve, adjust to historical Gao Wei of 15%. This is second for the tight keynote of monetary policy to determine rear, center trip, adjust the rate of capital reserve on. Center trip is pointed out , this action aims at implementing the tight requirement of monetary policy , strengthens bank system mobility management continuously , restrains currency credit to pass rapid increase. * * approves by the State Council that National Development and Reform Commission decides , from January 15, implement temporary price intervention measure for partially important merchandise and service in nation-wide scope. Reaching retail enterprise once and the wholesale of certain scale to increase price reach 4% more , amount to tune price in 10 days to reach 6% more or amount to tune price in 30 days to reach 10% more, need to be responsible for department in the price 24 hours after adjusts to government price written report tune price condition. The Bank of China of * * announces yesterday that has taken off the silver international fund management company's stock right of 83.5% in the subsidiary purchase on hand from flag. In trip news spokesman Wang Zhao Wen reveals , in is under the condition that the superintendency authority allow , trip next step will adopt same strategy, from it silver international bond control share shareholder indirectly to change as first big boss. * * according to statistics, it is lifted a ban that in 2008, A share stock company will have 81.013 billion limits to sell circulation stock , lift a ban proportion( lift a ban the stock several and newest total capital stock of stock company than) is 13.11%s. See from the time distribution that lifts a ban , 2008 lift a ban climax major concentration is in second half of the year , especially 3 quarters. Make statistics to show , the third quarter of the year lifts a ban share number is 29.644 billion, take annual lift a ban the 36.6% of quantity; The fourth quarter of the year lift a ban to measure also reach 28.767 billion, take annual lift a ban the 35.51% of quantity. * * as news statistics of newest prison meeting shows , now, the wind power of our country generates electricity , have made breakthrough progress; Chinese country news group company and China big Tang group company's wind news installed capacity exceeds million kilowatt in succession, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region becomes nation-wide first wind news the province of the breakthrough million kilowatt of installed capacity. The second plenary session of 17th class the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection of * * of the Communist Party of China holds in the morning in January 14,2008 to 16th in Beijing. Meeting is pointed out clearly, strictly forbid the cadre of party member to use post go up convenient get the message of inside story to carry out stock trade , cooperate with relevant division system to decide the specific stipulation of Party and government of leading cadre bond investment behavior; State-owned enterprise leader Yuan want strict self-discipline, forbid in enterprise asset integration , lead into strategic investor trying to gain personal gain in etc. process using authority , forbid to mortgage, assure and entrust without authorization to manage money , forbid to take over and reshuffle using listing of a company or stock company , in directional increase the processes such as hair the message of inside story is me or specific relation person tries to gain interests.

See from a plate of surface, receive American after last day according to crisis burden a plate of deep adjustment afterwards, Thursday deepens Hu big plate gets center trip again go up the tune deposit rate of capital reserve 0.5 percentage points to 15% reduce sexual policy influence, have arisen frightenedness slump quotations; End plate when copy base fund promotion recover whole day lost territory the most, eventually, two city shares are pointed at in order to take off the overcast line newspaper of shadow line on belt length to receive, conclude 269.736 billion. From whole day share, finger runs to see , the certificate composite index on early plate so as jump at 5,235.91 o'clock to leave empty is low open, when frightenedness sell pressure take off, share finger succession falls to break each integer big barrier, approach at 5000 o'clock strategic pass in, plate minimum fall to at 5,039.79 o'clock, end city spreads out the rebound of greater range , is last in order to announce receipt at 5,151.63 o'clock. , deeply correspondingly into finger, present the quotations that shakes considerably for 60 days and point for 120 days around line for share to form certain support. Two city shares fall to rise less, Shenzhen site rise levels to fall domestic several proportion is 148: 53: 461, Shanghai market rise levels to fall domestic several proportion is 163: 48: 629. Rise roll aspect, the Shenyang and science and technology of east wind drive recently , country Xiang stock and deep weaving A , gladly dragon controls the 11 share rises such as share to stop. Specific, partial cements, medicines and electronic kind of share expressions are relatively active, such as nest eastern stock, the industry and commerce of horse race, Yunnan white medicine, ultrasonic electronic, 3 match shelf stars and resurgence communication etc.. Have additionally somewhat directional increase hair and asset to pour into expected definite share also have good expression, drive recently as Shenyang , spaceflight long summit. But overall, market focus point is relatively deficient. Fall roll aspect, recently, going to the agriculture and forestry of winner continuously to herd the agricultural board pieces such as the fishing chemical fertilizer of farm chemical is declining considerably, nonferrous metal, steel and electric power , make wine the board pieces such as food also rank to fall front row.

When among 4 short trades day, last certificate composite index falls at 5,522.78 o'clock since rebound counts high to the minimum point in plate at 5,039.79 o'clock, amount to to fall panel height reaches 8.7%, short line slump to make market confidence is baffled seriously. It is pulled through quickly that however, what end plate copy base fund intervene to make big plate , recover whole day lost territory the most. Face a plate of this kind of violent concussion tendency and short period sudden adjust considerably, the crucial place of how we should deal with actually to become current operation. From the nature of adjustment, now can only judge is various advantages empty factor add repeatedly the frightenedness that effect brings to sell behavior , technology goes up is for early stage pair base form Jing the once of line location returns to take out confirmation. What deserve to be reminded is that in big plate, long-term tendency still depends on macroeconomics to move towards , the fund situation as well as achievement of stock company. If seeing from the tendency of short period, because of share, finger falls , have pretty huge , do not remove short period to take inventory when exceed to fall the opportunity of rebound, but on operation, should notice especially that possible existent market style changes. On specifically operating strategy, may pay attention to mainly go to the potentiality kind of position for some adjustments to adopt Feng the low strategy of inducting.

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